Flat Earth YouTubers statistics

For a comparison of Matthew Boylan (who still grew much less than Eric Dubay), let us see how he compares to a debunker's channel, The Alien Fossil Project, which started with 14,600 subscribers 3 months ago and now has 15,600, an increase of 7%, when Matt Boylan has doubled in the same period (and Eric Dubay has tripled):



Here's a chart comparison of new daily subscribers in the last 4 weeks:

One day before the end of one week since my first statistical inspection, Jeranism looks like he will be the big winner of the week. Another two weeks like this one and he will pass Matt Boylan, and be in third place, after Russianvids and Eric Dubay.

In just 24 hours, Jeranism has gained 1.4% of subscribers, which implies a monthly growth of 51%, and it's a little faster than the rate at which Eric Dubay has grown in the past six months:



And also the rise by MrThriveAndSurvive is normal, in that they both are the most active flat earth YouTubers right now. Russianvids is also active, but he doesn't grow as fast. Probably because this high growth is in flat earth, and he only makes flat earth videos every once in a while.

TheMorgile is not active, but he grows nonetheless. He said he is in marketing as a job, so maybe he found a way to promote his videos on the right places, and, since he gets so many views on those, those videos bring the subscribers.

Some people get subscribers by making new videos all the time, and he gets subscribers by having a lot of hits on the fewer videos that he makes, probably by promoting them better -- I don't see any other explanation for all hits he gets. Actually, I just realized. They are much longer, and also more dense in content, and certainly both characteristics help. The other two tend to explain less and do more videos to keep their audience entertained and alive. Their rule is to make one video per day. His rule to make long documentaries each time.

Unless Matt Boylan makes a new video, his TheNASAchannel will be passed by jeranism in about 10 days. At this rate, in less than one month jeranism will be a bigger YouTuber than Eric Dubay, too (see attachment).

Here below (see picture attached) is the latest update on the subscribers of the major flat earth YouTubers.

Before I show you the results, let me remind you that my assessment is that the general rule is as follows:

1) no voice heard, no face shown: 1x potential for growth
2) voice hear, but face not shown: 2x potential for growth (twice as good a previous)
3) voice heard, face shown: 4x potential for growth

Given such assessment, the trend has been that, as expected, the original flat earth YouTubers, who've been around for over a year, but don't like to speak and don't like to show their faces, are gradually being passed by a new generation of flat earthers who are speaking and in many cases also showing their faces, and who, much more than their predecessors, are interested in making money from this activity:



Examples: famous historical flat earthers like jhenningkelloggia, my perspective, freeanergy, Zetetic Flat Earth, Immortalsouls, all not talking and not showing their faces, are being surpassed by more recent flat earthers like Mark Sargent, Jeranism, MrThriveAndSurvive, TheMorgile and waykiwayki, who have no problems talking and talking, and in some cases showing their faces.

For the long term future, judging from what I have been seeing, statistically, I would bet on these following names (listed by present subscribers):

1) Jeranism
2) MrThriveAndSurvive
3) TheMorgile
4) waykiwayki

They could very well be the top 4 flat earthers a year from now. Basically it is a group of aggressive smooth-talking salesmen. Mark Sargent is not aggressive enough to be in this group. He's definitely smooth-talking, but his growth is showing that something is missing in his performance, or maybe he's just as good as them, but he's been hurt by so much criticism by Eric Dubay. His statistics are showing that he will soon be passed by MrThriveAndSurvive, and by others, because his growth is not high enough.

Eric Dubay will fall, too. He is too aggressive (on his forum in particular) and he's not smooth-talking enough. He's getting very unpopular, especially due to his forum, his success as a guru is getting to his head, and is causing him to act in a way that is making him lose most of his fans (certainly those he bans from his forum).

Russianvids might stay there at the top, because he already has so many subscribers (so even if he grows at the same rate as the others, he has an advantage) and because he gets subscribers from a wide range of mainstream conspiracy theories, which the others aren't covering.

So this is the way I see the top 10 chart a year from now:

Russianvids
jeranism
MrThriveAndSurvive
waykiwayki
TheMorgile
Eric Dubay
markksargent
TheNASAchannel
Stars are Souls
Cae sar

I think Eric Dubay will get to a point where he will start losing subscribers. Otherwise I could not explain why he would fall in sixth position, below all these new YouTubers. But I think that within a few months, the negativity he's been spreading and hate he has been preaching will hit him like a boomerang, and he will actually start losing subscribers. A warning sign was his latest video, where the guru Eric Dubay has, for the first time, become a minority on his own YouTube channel:
Math Powerland (Matt Boylan) Exposed



My prediction is that Eric won't accept appearing unpopular (due to the unfavorable "dislikes" on this video), and, with some excuse (such as the fact that he suspects the girl of being a "shill"), he will remove this video. Probably he will do so in about one month, so not admit defeat, and he will do so, after this video will be forgotten as in one month it will have been followed and overshadowed by several more videos posted.

His strength so far was that he was popular. He was an asshole but he was popular. But he's been an asshole to too many people and for too long, and now he's becoming an unpopular asshole.

Another two months and Jeranism will surpass him in subscribers. Another four months and MrThriveAndSurvive will pass him, too. Waykiwayki and TheMorgile will need another year to pass him.

It all proceeds according to my predictions, and today MrThriveAndSurvive has passed Mark Sargent:



In a week TheMorgile will pass Jimmy Henning. In two weeks waykiwayki will pass Jimmy Henning, who will then be out of the top ten, because he didn't usually record his voice and was not very active for the past few months. This is all normal and explained.

Of the original top ten flat earthers of the pre-Dubay era (before the 19th of December, 2014, when he uploaded his big documentary), only three are left in the top ten today: TheNASAchannel, Stars are Souls, Cae sar.



You can also see them on the floating sidebar on the left side, here below I marked them with a red square around their icon:





They all got wiped out because they were not recording their voices in their videos, which causes videos to be less popular and gets you fewer subscribers. And of course also because they weren't uploading videos as frequently as the new flat earthers who passed them, such as Jeranism and MrThriveAndSurvive.

Things are not looking good for Cae Sar, since he will be passed within 48 hours by TheMorgile, who has been growing much faster than him, and will take his ninth position. It's worth mentioning that Cae Sar is the only non-speaking flat earther who is still in the top ten. All other flat earthers in the top ten of YouTubers (by subscribers) talk in their videos. As I wrote before, this plays a huge role in subscribers, because if you talk in your videos you double your potential subscribers. Cae Sar is still there because he uploaded a very large number of videos.

Things are looking very bright instead for odiupicku, who only has 1,000 subscribers, but has achieved the highest rate of growth of all flat earth YouTubers, with a 10% in less than 4 days. With compounding, that reaches 100% per month. Odiupicku is none other than cikljamas on the Flat Earth Society forum:
www.theflatearthsociety.org/forum/index.php?action=profile;u=780124

Other than that, I will state once again that the long term future seems to belong to Jeranism, MrThriveAndSurvive and TheMorgile, who are the most easygoing people in the flat earth community, together with Mark Sargent, who however, surprisingly for me, has been on his way down for months, in terms of relative ranking, and as far as can be predicted by his rate of growth. Of course all flat earth YouTubers are growing in their absolute number of subscribers.

Interesting news today, because after hearing more Rob Skiba and especially more TigerDan925, I have realized that they belong in the top ten of Flat Earth YouTubers. They never fully came out as flat earthers, but they keep uploading excellent pro-flat earth videos, so I can no longer keep these two out of the top ten chart.

So here's the new chart as of today:



TigerDan925 has about 18,000 subscribers, so now Eric Dubay falls in third position. Certainly not the flat earth leader anymore. Pretty soon he will say that TigerDan925 is a shill, too, if he hasn't already said so.

I hope Jeranism between those two.

Of all the people in the current chart of the top 10 flat earth YouTubers, with the latest addition (as #1) of 7 TRUMPETS PREPPER, there is not one who doesn't speak in his videos, and there is only two (Jeranism and Russianvids) who do not show their face in at least some of their videos (even Dubay does it occasionally);



It is very interesting how this new generation of flat earthers, lead by Eric Dubay, has quickly (in 6 months) surpassed (in subscribers) and replaced almost all the previous top ten flat earthers (except for Matt Boylan and Stars are Souls), who for the most part did not show their faces nor used their voices in their videos: Cae Sar, jhenningkelloggia, my perspective, Zetetic Flat Earth, Immortalsouls, freeanergy, etcetera.

Very odd. Within just 5 hours, Cae Sar lost 6 subscribers, although he didn't upload any new videos in the last 2 days. Furthermore, he hasn't been losing subscribers for weeks, so it's not part of a larger trend. Also, no defamation of Cae Sar at IFERS. So, it might be something that's happening on Facebook.

Looks like a new Russianvids. First video uploaded was 23 hours ago.

www.youtube.com/channel/UCCqkPFcXsSdtyQ4EvUXWemQ/videos

With more than 24 hours to go until Sunday, when the week will go close, I can anticipate that Flat Water has broken all records, with an increase in subscribers that will surpass 100%. Yes, he more than doubled his subscribers in one week, and not just starting from zero, but starting from 56:



He is at 75% increase right now, but he has another 36 hours to go, and all he needs is 14 more subscribers to reach a 100% increase. It will happen for sure.

Excellent performance also by FakeSpaceman InSpace, who will most likely increase by more than 35%, starting from 350 and reaching almost 500.

Last week in the top ten chart for dmurphy25, who will probably be replaced by TheMorgile in one week.

Lots of changes coming up in the flat earth YouTubers, especially in the top ten.

In about one week, most likely, there will be a new entry, "Thecontroversy7 .", at number #3, with his 19,332 subscribers, who will cause everyone else to shift down by one.



Details of upcoming changes are all written here, in this image below:



TheMorgile will be out again, but not for long, because at this rate, in two weeks he will surpass Stars are Souls, who has stopped uploading videos for good, or so he said about two weeks ago.

When that will happen, the only surviving pre-Dubay (pre-Dubay flat earth documentary) flat earther will be Matt Boylan, who was the first big flat earth YouTuber. But he will be in sixth place, on his way down, since he also has stopped uploading flat earth videos, ever since Dubay defamed him by uploading that audio where we hear him argue with that girl.

The times when we had 10 flat earth YouTubers in total are very distant, and when there were, as on this post of March 31st, flat earth YouTubers with less than 1,000 subscribers:
serendipitous.boards.net/post/80/thread


If I remember correctly, back then, Eric Dubay himself had only about 3,500 subscribers. Now he has 19,000, and that was just 7 months ago.